Tuesday 12 January 2016

Division 3 Stats and Facts

Division 3 the tale of the tape.

How does Division 3 match up to the 2 top flight positions.

 Division 3 easy up , easy down, most peoples perception of this league.  High risk , high gain.

 

GK def mid att top 15 top 21
Monaco 88 89 89 90 87 85 88
Ajax 91 90 89 89 86 83 88
Shaktar 88 90 88 90 87 85 88
Marseille 91 87 90 88 86 84 87.66667
Hamburg 88 88 88 88 87 85 87.33333
Lille 89 87 88 89 85 85 87.16667
Aston Villla 87 87 88 88 86 86 87
CSKA 89 89 89 89 84 82 87
Swansea 88 87 88 89 86 84 87
Besitkas 87 87 87 87 86 85 86.5
Sampdoria 88 88 88 89 84 82 86.5
Leiscester 87 87 88 89 85 82 86.33333
Sassuolo 88 87 87 88 85 82 86.16667
Stoke 88 88 87 89 85 80 86.16667
Cruziero 87 86 87 89 85 82 86
Hoffenheim 88 87 87 87 85 82 86
Crystal Palace 86 87 86 87 85 84 85.83333
Basel 86 87 87 87 86 82 85.83333
PSV 87 87 88 87 85 80 85.66667
Bordeaux 88 87 88 86 85 80 85.66667


The average rating is 86.7 , compared to 89.7 in Division 1 and 88.15 in Division 2, so we kind of drop 1.7/ 1.8 rating points per division.  Using the same theory as last time you probably need around a rating of 87 to survive in division 2 , which would mean a much smaller field of possible promotees from Swansea up .

There is also much less depth , almost all teams lack a full strength squad but all at least have at least 1 capable sub in all positions. 

It is easy to see that Monaco, Ajax , Shaktar and Marseille all have that bit extra to challenge for the top spot. Ajax may well be able to put out the most convincing first team and with a capable keeper could be joint favourites with Marseille.

The following 5 teams as previously mentioned could well challenge for automatic promotion or a playoff spot.. CSKA are the most potent but perhaps lack enough to challenge all season , so an early good start is essential. Lille also have a good top and tail meaning they will always threaten.

From Besitkas down to Hoffenheim is there a surprise lurking in the murky depths. Well Sampdoria are a kind of inferior version of CSKA, so again an early start for them is vital. 
 As for the relegation candidates you could argue that it is more the lack of players outside the regular starters that will cost them, therefore they may get off to a good start but fade as time goes by, the only exception being Basel who ironically have the depth but no strength.

1 comment:

  1. Excellent & insightful Malcolm, dreading you getting to Div 5 !!!!!

    ReplyDelete